{"id":1313,"date":"2019-02-15T10:32:03","date_gmt":"2019-02-15T07:32:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/kusuaks7\/?p=918"},"modified":"2021-05-11T14:10:14","modified_gmt":"2021-05-11T14:10:14","slug":"change-how-you-solve-churn-at-your-company-with-artificial-intelligence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/ai-ml\/change-how-you-solve-churn-at-your-company-with-artificial-intelligence\/","title":{"rendered":"Change how you solve Churn at your Company with Artificial Intelligence"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>Ready to learn Machine Learning? <a href=\"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/training\/courses\">Browse courses<\/a>&nbsp;like&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/training\/courses\/machine-learning-foundations-supervised-learning\">Machine Learning Foundations: Supervised Learning<\/a> developed by industry thought leaders and Experfy in Harvard Innovation Lab.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Have you watched the movie,&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.imdb.com\/title\/tt0181689\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><em>Minority report<\/em><\/a><em>, where Tom Cruise saves lives by detecting crimes beforehand?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>In this post, you will know how to proactively save your customers from churning by detecting it beforehand.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This is part of the Solving Churn blog series. We have spoken about how Churn is hard to solve with current methods in our previous post.<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn-images-1.medium.com\/max\/1200\/1*-ojJ_ruGP2tZeBvf7H1K5A.jpeg\" style=\"width: 600px; height: 398px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@MaraxAI\/part-1-what-is-churn-and-why-should-consumer-internet-companies-worry-about-it-c032af93f26d\" rel=\"noopener\">Solving Churn Part 1: What is Churn and why should Consumer Internet companies worry about&nbsp;it?<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Sections:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Introduction<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Value of Predictions<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>The Return on Investment<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>With more and more money pouring into internet companies, companies have been collectively spending billions of dollars in growing the user base on their platform and fight off the cutthroat competition to survive in their respective domain or vertical.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">But the sad reality is that companies on an average lose&nbsp;<strong><em>80 percent&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><em>of their customers in the first<a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@MaraxAI\/part-1-what-is-churn-and-why-should-consumer-internet-companies-worry-about-it-c032af93f26d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong> 30 days&nbsp;<\/strong>of acquisition<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>So, for example, if you had a marketing budget of $1000<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><em>Money Spent=&nbsp;$1000<\/em><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><em>Money wasted =&nbsp;$800<\/em><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><em>Future LTV wasted=&nbsp;<\/em><em>\ud83d\udcb8\ud83d\udcb8\ud83d\udcb8<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Not many companies can survive at scale if the Churn problem is not mitigated as soon as possible.<\/p>\n<p><strong>2. Behaviour Predictions can save the day&nbsp;\ud83d\udd2e<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I bike to work every day in Bangalore which is known for its chaotic traffic. The likelihood of one reaching from point A to point B is determined by how good one is at anticipating the movement of vehicles and pedestrians so that one can avert a potential crash.<\/p>\n<p>This sort of skill comes from experience riding on these roads for a long period of time.<\/p>\n<p>Let&rsquo;s break down how one is able to do this,<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Input Data:<\/strong>&nbsp;Video of how the environment around me is like, how the vehicles and pedestrians are behaving etc.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Prediction Engine:<\/strong>&nbsp;Brain(Experience from previous rides)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Output:<\/strong>&nbsp;Preventive Proactive measures to reach my destination safely<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This is exactly the same principle we can apply to our problem and proactively save users from Churning. The &lsquo;experience&rsquo; comes from having gone through these roads safely, having a couple of crashes\/falls in the past, the weather and million other signals which are subconscious to us.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><em>If we can somehow experience or &lsquo;learn&rsquo; how users have behaved in the past(those who churned and those who stayed) we can predict how your current users will behave in the&nbsp;future.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Growing your company with Predictions \ud83d\ude80<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Predicting Churn behavior in users can be equally life-saving for companies.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Input Data: The Data Universe<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAAA8pAAAAJDE4MDRkMWNkLTllNzItNDZkOC1hZTQ1LTUwMjA2MmFhNTY1ZQ.png\" style=\"width: 600px; height: 639px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Almost all companies broadly collect the following data,<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Product Data<\/strong>: Data around the products being offered by companies to the Customers. For example, Movie Genre, Actors etc. for Netflix, Food data for food delivery companies etc.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Marketing Data<\/strong>: All interactions between the company and the customer. This can be marketing campaigns through Push notifications, email or SMS<\/li>\n<li><strong>Feedback data:<\/strong>&nbsp;All support related queries, ratings etc.<\/li>\n<li><strong>App events data:<\/strong>&nbsp;All the events which a user performs on the platform to achieve the desired outcome.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Transactions data:&nbsp;<\/strong>Order Value, number of orders, Transaction history etc.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This helps you build an almost complete picture of the user for your Prediction engine to learn from.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><em>Proprietary&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>External<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;Signals(like locality scores etc.) relevant to your company can drastically help increase the accuracy of predictions<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction Engine: Making a machine learn your business&nbsp;\ud83e\udd16<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Humans suck at analyzing large amount of signals. With the recent spurt in behavior data, manually building rules for 100s of possible signals of Churn is neither feasible nor accurate.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAABFuAAAAJDVjYTIyODlmLWEzODctNDQwNi1iZjJjLTA5NWMzYWU5MjJmZQ.png\" style=\"width: 600px; height: 327px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Just like how you learn to avert danger with every different obstacle you face as a commuter, you can make a machine learn how different paths, activities and 100 other signals from the user&rsquo;s&nbsp;<strong>Data Universe&nbsp;<\/strong>led them to either&nbsp;<strong>Churn&nbsp;<\/strong>or&nbsp;<strong>stay&nbsp;<\/strong>on the platform.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Training<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Since Churn is measured in time windows(For example, Users who don&rsquo;t purchase in 7 Days), we give examples to our Prediction Engine to&nbsp;<strong>learn<\/strong>&nbsp;how behavior over&nbsp;<strong>time windows<\/strong>&nbsp;has led to a&nbsp;<strong>resultant behavior&nbsp;<\/strong>(Churned or Not Churned) in the specific window. In the image below, each dot represents a window and the red dot being the resultant behavior.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAABBKAAAAJGUxMWY3MDEwLWJjYmEtNDM3YS1iN2NmLTZiYTEwMmZjOGZiNw.png\" style=\"width: 600px; height: 282px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Predicting<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Now once the model has experienced how hundreds of thousands of users behave(Churned or active) based on all the signals from the Data Universe, you can Predict how your current and future users will behave in the next window.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAABIzAAAAJDY1MDFhNjA4LWM4NGUtNGUxMS05YTNmLTA4OTc2ZTBiOTEwMw.png\" style=\"width: 600px; height: 282px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Output:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>With Predictions, your life becomes very simple,<\/p>\n<p><strong>Step 1:&nbsp;Focus<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAAA8mAAAAJDQxN2Q1M2NhLTQ1ZjItNDNkZS1hM2FhLTIzMDljZjFmZjQ4Mg.png\" style=\"width: 750px; height: 186px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Find the Churn Risk %age of users with the help of the Prediction Engine and segment out the high-risk users.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Step 2: Understand<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAABHyAAAAJDEyOTdkM2EyLTBkYTctNGUxZC1hNmNlLTdjNWJkM2ExYTAxYQ.png\" style=\"width: 750px; height: 196px;\" \/>&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Understand the potential reasons for their high Churn risk to proactively improve your product and marketing efforts.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Step 3:<\/strong><strong>&nbsp;Take&nbsp;Action<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAAA31AAAAJDcyMGI1NjM3LTQ2ZjktNDc2Ni1hMGUzLTExMTczY2NlNDg1YQ.png\" style=\"width: 750px; height: 197px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The best part is that once you start taking actions, the Prediction Engine will start recommending actions for different segments of users based on the performance of previous actions.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Putting it all together<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAAA8FAAAAJDk2YjUzMzc0LWUzYzMtNDUxMC05MzMzLWM1NmNhY2U5Mzc1NA.png\" style=\"width: 750px; height: 306px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>3. The Return on Investment \ud83d\udcb5<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><em>Focus<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;on users who are actually at risk and hence save up on&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>retention costs<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><em>Save<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;up on&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>acquisition cost<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;to replace the Churning users<\/em><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong><em>Protect<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;the&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/em><strong><em>Future Revenue<\/em><\/strong><em>&nbsp;from Churning users<\/em><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAAA4iAAAAJDU5OWEyOGU5LWQ3NDctNDQyNS04MGQ0LTI4MzgzMTg0YWJhZg.png\" style=\"width: 750px; height: 639px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>So your war chest for Marketing just got much bigger with Predictions and the saved money can be invested back into acquiring more users and proactively retaining Churning users to&nbsp;<strong>compound your growth week on week.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"experfy-blog\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/mpr\/mpr\/AAMAAwDGAAgAAQAAAAAAABGIAAAAJDIyZWU3ZWY4LWZlNWQtNGQ1Yi1hMDZiLTI1NjlkNjljYTg5ZQ.png\" style=\"width: 750px; height: 435px;\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Conclusion<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A lot of legacy tech is being disrupted with the advancement of Artificial Intelligence and it is high time we had a&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/zerotoonebook.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Zero to One<\/a>&nbsp;solution in reducing Churn.<\/p>\n<p>So now the question to you is, what would you rather do?<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><em>Spend more and save less&nbsp;users<\/em><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><em>OR<\/em><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><em>Spend less and save more users?<\/em><\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<hr align=\"center\" size=\"1\" width=\"223\" \/><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>We are offering<strong>&nbsp;Free early access&nbsp;<\/strong>to our AI-powered Churn Management Platform for a limited period.<a href=\"https:\/\/sumant5.typeform.com\/to\/kreqr3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>&nbsp;Sign Up<\/strong><\/a>&nbsp;now to transform how you retain your users.<\/p>\n<p>Also, stay tuned for the next part of the series where we will talk more in detail about the existing prediction methods to forecast churn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ready to learn Machine Learning? Browse courses&nbsp;like&nbsp;Machine Learning Foundations: Supervised Learning developed by industry thought leaders and Experfy in Harvard Innovation Lab. Have you watched the movie,&nbsp;Minority report, where Tom Cruise saves lives by detecting crimes beforehand? In this post, you will know how to proactively save your customers from churning by detecting it beforehand.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":209,"featured_media":2965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[183],"tags":[97],"ppma_author":[2865],"class_list":["post-1313","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ai-ml","tag-artificial-intelligence"],"authors":[{"term_id":2865,"user_id":209,"is_guest":0,"slug":"sumant-subrahmanya","display_name":"Sumant Subrahmanya","avatar_url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/?s=96&d=mm&r=g","user_url":"","last_name":"Subrahmanya","first_name":"Sumant","job_title":"","description":"Sumant Subrahmanya is the Co-founder and Product Lead at Marax AI where he is building AI-based products to solve churn for Internet-based companies. He has worked on the Churn Problem for over a year and is currently leading the effort to be one of the first companies to make deep learning models explainable for companies.&nbsp;"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1313","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/209"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1313"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1313\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5995,"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1313\/revisions\/5995"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2965"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1313"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1313"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1313"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.experfy.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=1313"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}